Re: change of Iraqi leadership

["Kessaissia, Mazine" <mazine.kessaissia@mail.utexas.edu>]

Mike,
In reply to your comment, let me reassure you. You don't have to worry about 
any regime change in Iraq, because it will simply not occur. 
The reason is because, thankfully, there are nations in this world, and 
particularly in the security council at the UN, with a minimum common sense 
and moral standards.
And at that time, I am proud to be a citizen of one of these nations that 
categorically oppose agressing a sovereign country.

I am not sure if you heard yesterday the comments of Jean-David Lavitte, 
Ambassador of France to the UN, member of the security council, pleading in 
favor of a diplomatic solution to the issue through a tougher UN resolution on 
the return of weapon inspectors. He also asserted that France, as its 
citizens, are at that time strongly opposed to any military action. 
Eventually, since France, along with Russia and China, have the right of veto, 
a military agression on Iraq is completely out of the question right now or 
even in the near future, as for the UN and the international community side.
However, if the US still goes to war, it will be at its own expenses and it 
will have to face not only hatred from the Arab and Muslim world for its 
current acts, but will eventually face it from its own allies.
And I am pretty sure that the US administartion is smart enough not to go to 
war, because it does not want to end up in quarantine, from the International 
community.

So once again, it is out of question to ask yourself about a change of Iraqi 
leadership.



There are many competing factions lobbying for U.S. support in the impending 
change of leadership.  My quesiton is, will the U.S. allow for the leader to 
be democratically voted in?  In Latin American countries the U.S. has 
supported a U.N. chapperoned election (sometimes only due to internaitonal 
pressure) when certain revolutions have occured.  The difference is that the 
U.S. is openly using its own troops to oust Hussein, whereas most Latin 
American coups were supported by covert operations.  I don't think Bush will 
risk this much politically and then risk the chance of having a leader that is 
unfriendly to the U.S. in Irak.  This man may be a humanitarian and he may 
not, we will have to wait and see.
 
-mike parrott